Monday, March 11, 2013

Big bull Jhunjhunwala losing his magic touch


Is Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, India’s most followed stock investor, losing his magic touch? It seems so going by the performance of some of his most recent investments. Jhunjhunwala’s recent market bets from Pipavav Defense and Offshore Engineering (earlier Pipavav Shipyard) to DB Realty, Sterling Holidays and Resorts to A2Z Maintenance (bought from the secondary market immediately after IPO) are either quoting lower or at similar levels since he invested in them about two years ago, an analysis by Financial Chronicle revealed.Jhunjhunwala, popular in market circles as ‘Warren Buffet of India’ for his long-term investment approach, may still have the last laugh after a few years if the stocks zoom as in the case of his other famous investments such as Titan, Crisil, Geojit and others, said stockbrokers.However, for now, RJ’s reputation built over the years is under a serious threat.DB Realty, where he bought 12.50 lakh shares at an average price of Rs 90.21 apiece in October last year, is now trading at Rs 79.75, causing Jhunjhunwala Rs 1.3 crore loss as of Monday. 

Similarly, the big bull is nursing his wounds in Pipavav Defense and Offshore Engineering, owned by SKIL Infrastructure, in which he invested in September 2011. The Rs 81.90 crore investment in Pipavav Defense and Offshore Engineering was made in convertible shares issued at that time for Rs 78 apiece. The conversion, due in 18 months, falls in the coming weeks.

Shares of Pipavav Defense and Offshore closed at Rs 67.10 apiece on Monday, a loss of nearly Rs 11 a share for the billionaire, who was ranked #46 richest Indian by Forbes.Similarly, Jhunjhunwala’s move to garner investor faith by buying over 16 lakh shares in A2Z Maintenance, a company he backed, on the day of the company’s listing on the stock exchanges has backfired. Though the exact price he paid to buy these shares is not known, the stock closed at Rs 333 apiece on the listing day compared with the IPO price of Rs 400.The share hit a new low of Rs 26.40 on Monday, wiping off at least Rs 50 crore from his secondary market investment. 

An email sent to Jhunjhunwala and Utpal Sheth, CEO of Rare Enterprises, the investment firm founded by the former, elicited no response.Vijay Kedia, director of Kedia Securities, who himself models his investments on Jhunjhunwala, says the ups and downs are part and parcel of the market. “We need to understand that the market is supreme,” he said, but added that “Jhunjhunwala is Jhunjhunwala. He is not running a 100-metre or 400-metre race. He is in a marathon. He’ll stay invested for five years or 10 years.”Kedia felt the recent crash in mid-cap stocks dented investor confidence and this may have impacted Jhunjhunwala-owned stocks as well. Perhaps, only the saving grace is that Jhunjhunwala’s investment in Sterling Holidays and Resorts, where he invested at Rs 75 a share in September 2011, has gone up by a paltry Rs 5, or over 6 per cent, over the past 18 months. The stock is trading at Rs 80 a share. The letdown for investors in A2Z Maintenance, which went public in December 2010 showing Jhunjhunwala’s backing as he continued to hold nearly 20 per cent, has forced the postponement of IPOs of several other firms that he backed.During the road shows for A2Z Maintenance, the 52-year-old investor promised that at least six companies that he backed would be listed in the coming years. Some of the unlisted firms that he has invested in include Topsgroup, John Energy, Hungama Digital and Concord Biotech.
                 This article is taken from My digitalfc.com.I express my sincere thanks to this reporter  Rajesh Abraham

Sunday, March 10, 2013

BERGER MAY BUY SHALIMAR PAINTS


BERGER PAINT IS LIKELY TO ACQUIRE SHALIMAR PAINTS......LIKELY TO BE 180/- PER SHARE.......OFFICIAL ANNOUNCEMENT LIKELY AT 3.30pm TODAY

Friday, March 8, 2013

REASON FOR SPURT IN JET AIRWAYS


 Shares in Jet AirwaysBSE 9.93 %extended gains to more than 13 per cent on Friday, after a news channel reported that Abu Dhabi's Etihad Airways may buy a 10-12 per cent stake in the company directly from promoters. 

Etihad may pay as much as Rs 750 ($13.75) a share for the stake, the report said. 

Etihad has been in talks with Jet to buy a 24 per cent stake, government sources said. 

The channel said Etihad may buy the remaining stake by issuing preferential shares. 

I already posted today morning about possible oppen offer by Ehihad for Jet Airways

IF ETIHAD BUYS MORE THAN 24% IN JET THEN AN OPEN OFFER WILL TRIGGER.....
RETAIL SHAREHOLDERS WILL BE BENEFITED.I EXPECT STAKE SALE MAY BE AROUND 700/- PER SHARE AS PER LATEST FINANCIALS OF JET AIRWAYS

         SO I RECOMMEND BUYING JET AIRWAYS AT Rs.510 LEVELS FOR TARGET OF Rs.700

OPEN OFFER IN JET AIRWAYS????????


This is my personnel view on Jet Airways

IF ETIHAD BUYS MORE THAN 24% IN JET THEN
AN OPEN OFFER WILL TRIGGER.....
RETAIL SHAREHOLDERS WILL BE BENEFITED........
STAKE SALE MAY BE AROUND 700/- PER SHARE

SO I RECOMMEND BUYING JET AIRWAYS AT Rs.510 LEVELS FOR TARGET OF Rs.700

Quiz Damaka For My followers and Win Exciting Prices


This is a simple quiz program conducted once in a week.I will ask a question related to stock market on every Friday.
Terms and conditions
1)You can post the answer on blogger comments section only.
2)Last date for posting answer will be Sunday midnight 11.59 am.There after nothing will be entertained 
3)If there are more right answers winner will be decided through lot system.
4)One participant should post only one answer

Here is the question of the week.Go and shoot it and win fabulous prices
I Founded a real hidden gem in Indian IT space....The clues for the company are follows
1)This company remains best play among the mid-sized Indian IT sector
2)This company is fully debt free
3)Have cash surplus of Rs.1.8 billion(Rs.43 per share)
4)Its now trading in between Rs.100 and 110 levels...
I hope this clues are enough for getting right answer.So start posting right answers in comments section

Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Target Met in Infosys(20% profit)

I am happy to announce that my target on Infosys met today on trading hours.I gave a fresh buy call on Infosys at  Rs.2500 just before companies Q3 results.For details of buy recommendation click here.http://keralatraders.blogspot.in/2013/01/infosys-q3-beats-estimates-net-profit.html
I am again posting my ten reasons for Infosys share buy

  1. Infosys net profit at Rs.s.2,369 crore in the December quarter was flat against Rs.s.2,370 crore in the September quarter, but much better than the average estimate of Rs. 2,100 crore in a poll of 16 analysts, according to Thomson Reuters.
  2. Infosys said revenue rose 12 per cent in October-December to Rs.s.10,424 crore from Rs.s.9,300 crore a year earlier. That compares with analyst estimates of Rs.s.9,680 crore.
  3. Dollar revenues for the December quarter stood at $1.91 billion against $1.79 billion in the previous quarter and better than estimates of $1.87 billion.
  4. The biggest positive for the stock was the upward revision announced in the full year dollar sales forecast. Infosys said FY13 revenue forecast is seen at $7.45 billion, which is better than $7.34 billion projected by the management earlier. The new guidance implies 6.5 per cent growth year-on-year and includes Lodestone's revenues.
  5. Earnings per share for the full fiscal are likely to be Rs.s.162.80, a 10.4 per cent jump over the year ago period.
  6. Infosys maintained margins despite higher operating costs. EBIT or operating margins declined to 25.69 per cent against 26.3 per cent in the September quarter, but better than estimates of 25.5 per cent. Margins declined on account of wage hikes.
  7. Infosys managed to post 2 per cent sequential growth in volumes though the biggest surprise was the pick-up in pricing, which rose 3.7 per cent. Utilization rate rose to 70.1 per cent against 69.60 per cent.
  8. Management sounded optimistic: S. D. Shibulal, CEO and managing director of Infosys said the company has done well in this quarter despite an uncertain environment. "We continue to gain confidence from a strong pipeline of large deals. However, the broader economic environment remains difficult. Even so, we remain cautiously optimistic about the January-March quarter", he added.
  9. Analysts said the worst might be over for Infosys. "This is a very credible performance. Infosys has exceeded our estimates at the bottom line by 4-5 per cent and they have done this after 4-5 quarter... so, kudos to the management. The combine of a beat on actual Q3 numbers and upbeat guidance should reflect in our and most brokerage estimates going upwards," Saurabh Mukherjee of Ambit told NDTV Profit.
  10. Brokers were upbeat: Kotak said Infosys had reported an excellent quarter with organic growth beating expectations. Nomura said Q3 revenues were very impressive and organic growth guidance not being cut is positive. Citi said Infosys has showed a substantial beat in Q3.

Now on 7 march Infosys is trading at Rs.3002 levels which means 20% upside form my buy call on January 10th report.Now I wish to book profit in Infoys at this levels.