STAY INVESTED IN MARKET TROUGH SIP MODE

This is my findings from stock market and I am sharing it with my clients and followers

 1)FIIs pumped in a net $24 billion (Rs 127,480 crore) so far in 2012, the second highest investment in India since 1992, data shows.

2)Nifty pe  now trading at 18.89.

3)When nifty trading at ever time high of 6357 on 2008 nifty pe ratio was at 28.

Conclusion

As FII invested record level during 2012 I strongly believe they wont withdraw fund immediately.I think nifty is not expensive when compared to pe ratio earlier in 2008.Our market is attractive while compared to Nikkei,Shangai and other asian and emerging markets

With the positive reforms measures taken by Govt like Retail FDI,FDI in Aviation,Cut in subsidy burden and Rise in Petrol prices,lowering fiscal defecit of Indian economy and better macro economic condition in world economy and passing of fiscal cliff deal in USA,I expect nifty to hit new highs on better global economic conditions in coming months

My Advise

So I recommend my clients to continue investments and hold positions for more returns.But finding good stock for investments is obiviously a difficult task.I have researched and find out some good companies which are superior in fundamentals and having good biz models for long run.These companies are either having low debt,good top line and bottom line figure and potential multi-baggers in long run.So I advise clients to invest in these ten companies for next 5 years through SIP mode of minimum Rs.1000 per month for better returns.Select one company which is attractive levels out of this ten each month and invest every month

COMPANY NAME	SECTOR	CMP	52WEEK LOW/HIGH	VALUATION	MKT CAP
ECLERX	KPO SOFTWARE	700	571-910	ATTRACTIVE	MIDCAP
AVT NATURAL	FMCG	35	27-45	ATTRACTIVE	SMALL CAP
IRB INFRA	CONSTRUCTION	130	100-210	ATTRACTIVE	MIDCAP
GREAVES COTTON	AUTO ENGINES	84	60-94	ATTRACTIVE	MIDCAP
SIB	BANKING	28	20-30	ATTRACTIVE	MIDCAP
TVS MOTORS	AUTOS	48	31-55	ATTRACTIVE	MIDCAP
DISHMAN	PHARMA	116	41-125	FAIR	SMALL CAP
OBEROI REALTY	REALTY	285	205-323	FAIR	MIDCAP
VGUARD	HOME APPLIANCE	509	161-547	EXPENSIVE	MIDCAP
LTFH	NBFC	90	40-97	EXPENSIVE	LARGE CAP

Adding JaiCorp in Model Portfolio

Now I am adding Jaicorp in my model portfolio with a weightage of 10% @ 85 rate 117 shares
for a value of Rs.9945 and reserve fund in portfolio is reduced to Rs.102134

Maharashtra cabinet cleared the new industrial policy, which allows special economic zone (SEZ) developers to utilize 40% of the land in their possession as an integrated industrial township project.

If you go by the business model of the company and if I take the networth of Rs 2,400-2,500 crore of the company, more than Rs 1,500-1,600 crore has been invested in the real estate. They have interest in Navi Mumbai SEZ, Maha Mumbai SEZ, Rewas port and many real estate companies. It is very difficult to ascertain what kind of interest or percentage of holdings they have. It is quite substantial.
The major chunk of both these SEZ’s ownership are with Mukesh Ambani in his personal capacity but some portion of them, the beneficial ownership or the ownership of these two SEZs are also held by this company. Now there are talks that some of the monetisations of the company’s interest in these SEZs as well as in the other real estate projects in which interest of Mukesh Ambani lies, will get monetized for which the company may get a huge amount - as against the marketcap of Rs 1,500 crore, people have been talking of Rs 2,000-2,500 crore.

Due to this newsflow and the huge real estate investments, company should be termed as a real estate company only. Three-four years back when they made a preferential allotment, then the frenzy for real estate stocks was there, the marketcap of the company moved more than Rs 20,000 crore, while now the marketcap is close to Rs 1,500 crore. It is a debt-free company with a networth of close to Rs 2,500 crore.

Booking Profit in JPinfra in Model Portfolio

Now I am booking profit in JP infra @ 55.50 in my model portfolio.I have 208 shares at 48.So there will be only Bajaj Finserv and Strides Arcolab left in portfolio.
Now total cash holdings in portfolio will be around Rs.112079

SCRIP	BUY RATE	QTY	SECTOR	CMP	GAIN/LOSSS	% CHANGE	VALUE
STRIDES ARCO	800	6	PHARMA	1080	1680	35	6480
BAJAJ FINSERV	890	6	FINANCIAL SERV	918	168	2	5508
CASH BALANCE							112079

BYE BYE TO 2012 PORTFOLIO

Here is the closing rate of my 2012 portfolio on Dec 31 .........I invested Rs.1 lakh in 2012 and its value is now Rs.276000

SCRIP	BUY RATE	BUY QTY	% HOLDING	SECTOR	TOTAL BUY VALUE	CMP	CURRENT VALUE	PROFIT
DEN NETWORK	40	625	25	MEDIA ENTERTAINMENT	25000	205	128125	93750
HATHWAY CABLES	110	182	20	MEDIA ENTERTAINMENT	20000	303	55146	30414
VGUARD	240	84	20	CABLE AND WIRING	20160	540	45360	25360
MARICO	170	59	10	FMCG	10030	224	13216	3068
FINANTIAL TECH	580	9	5	IT	5220	1082	9738	4455
APOLLO HOSP	550	9	5	HEALTH CARE	4950	817	7353	2385
ECLERX	660	7	5	IT	4620	718	5026	420
DABUR	110	45	5	FMCG	4950	130	5850	900
SOUTH IND BANK	22	228	5	BANKING	5010	27	6156	1146
					100000		275970	175970

2013 BETS FOR MY FOLLOWERS

I am happy to share my 2013 portfolio bets for my followers and clients for free of cost.

SCRIP NAME	CMP	SECTOR	LOGIC	WEIGHTAGE
STERLITE TECH	31	OPTICAL FIBRE AND CABLE	20000 CRORE NATIONAL OPTICAL FIBRE NETWORK	25
			STER TECH WILL BE KEY BENEFITIARY
FINOLEX	62	POWER CABLE PVC PIPES	HIGH GROWTH RATE EXPECTED IN CABLE,POWER AND MEDIA	20
			INDUSTRY IN COMING YEARS
SIB	27	BANKING	LOW NPA OF .19%.VERY LEAST IN BANKING INDUSTRY	10
			HUGE EXPANSION PLANS IN CARDS FOR BANK
DISHMAN PHARMA	115	PHARMA	ATTRACTIVE VALUATION OF PE RATIO 7.FIIS STARTED	10
			ACCUMULATING DISHMAN PHARMA
TATA STEEL	410	METAL	EUROPEAN OPS RESTRUCTURING.IMPROVED DEMAND FROM CHINA	10
SPECIALITY RESTAURANT	175	FOOD CHAIN	CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SPENDING EXPECTED TO RISE AFTER	5
			INTEREST RATE SLOWDOWN
ECLERX	700	IT	FUNDAMNETALLY STRONG,EXPECTING BETTER MARGINS IN 2013	5
HCL INFOSYS	38	SOFTWARE AND IT	ATTRACTIVE VALUATIONS,WILL BE BENEFITTED FROM UIDAI PRJ	5
IVRCL INFRA	44	CONSTRUCTION	GOVT KEY FOCUS ON INFRASTRUCTURE IN FYP	5
IRB INFRA	130	INFRASTRUCTURE	ATTRACTIVE VALUATION,HUGE ORDER BOOK FROM NHAI	5

I selected 10 companies from various sectors like cable,metal.banking,IT,pharma, construction,food and beverage etc.Given maximum weightage of 45% to cable and power wire manufactures like Ster technology and Finolex.As this portfolio is meant for 2013 full year I am not mentioning any target.Requested to continue holding for 2013 full year As 2013 Rbi will cut key interest rates it will be good for markets and beneficial for infra and construction companies like IRB and IVRCL

TIPS ON DEC 28

Here is today's my trading call in three segments

TODAYS RECOMMENDATIONS
EQUITY
SCRIP	ACTION	RATE	TARGET	STOP LOSS	REASON/LOGIC	REMARKS	PROFIT/LAC
SUZLON	BUY	18.5	19.5	18	DEBT RESTRUCTURING	TGT HIT	5405
FUTURES
SCRIP	ACTION	RATE	TARGET	STOP LOSS	REASON/LOGIC	REMARKS	PROFIT/LOT
HDIL	BUY	111	112	110.5	REALTY SECTOR POSITIVE	TGT HIT	4000
BHEL	BUY	227.5	229	227	TECHINCAL BUY	TGT HIT	1500
OPTIONS
SCRIP	ACTION	RATE	TARGET	STOP LOSS	REASON/LOGIC	REMARKS	PROFIT/LOT
HDIL 110 JAN CE	BUY	5.5	6.5	5	REALTY SECTOR BULLISH	TGT HIT	4000